EFI2019 talk: Ecological forecasts for integrated socio-environmental systems (SES)

Ashander J, K Kroetz, Y Kuwayama 2019 EFI Conference presentation

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<– Click the link for a video of the talk!

Forecasting or projecting involves a wide range of timescales and associated assumptions about human behavior. At one end of the spectrum are very-near-term physical forecasts (like the weather) and at another end are long-run, scenario-based projections (like global emissions pathways). Ecological forecasts span a range of timescales and assumptions about human behavior. The main message of this talk was that in developing and thinking about “ecological forecasting” as a discipline, we must be clear about whether and to what extent a forecast is incorporating human behavior.

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